Sunday, May 25, 2008

Humble Rice and the Mighty Oil

Lets start with the humble Rice. Being the staple food of a large part of India, it was indeed a matter of great concern for the government when Rice prices went up in the world markets. So, to stop domestic prices to go up, Indian government curbed exports of all Rice varieties, except of the high priced Basmati, which has a negligible market in India. Seems to be a perfect step, a logical one. There is only a small problem - India also is home to the largest farming community in the world, with the maximum number of farmers engaged in subsistence level farming. Majority of these farmers are rice producers, thus a rising rice prices in the world markets is nothing but a great boon for them. They have a god-given (or man-created) opportunity to sell their produce at higher prices, realise higher profits and get due returns on their investment (physical and financial). Unfortunately, before they could raise their glasses and say toast to higher prices, the all mighty pro-poor (and allegedly pro-farmer) government steps in ban exports. After all, how can the stupid illiterate farmers become the beneficiaries of the market forces? No, no, market forces are only for the high and mighty, the educated middle class, the companies (public and private), the planning commission economists but not for the wretched farmers. They must be kept dependent on the alms of the central government via policies like loan waivers, once in 20 years. This is the surest way our government can think of to get farmers' votes! To top it all, our PM will sent postcards to lakhs of farmers, reminding them of his kindness (to waive off their loan). He should also write in the postcard, how he and his government denied the rightful market governed prices to the farmers for their produce. Its a pity how even the lobbies, which consider themselves pro-farmer, dont raise any hue & cry over this blatantly unfair act of the so called pro-farmer government. If the government was afraid that rising rice prices would affect the poor (landless labourers), it always had the option to buy the rice and supply them to the poor through its public distribution system at the subsidised rates (which it anyway does now). Who were the real gainers of this act? It is the middle class, you and me, who have been spared the burden of rising rice prices at the cost of the farmers. The media speaks for the middle class today and the middle class trounces on the rights of the poors (including farmers) with contempt. We have a new caste system, with only 2 castes - the educated with a voice (access to media & information) and the voiceless. And people in the first category happily screw the people in the second, without knowing and without remorse.

The case of oil is also similar to the case of rice. The highly subsidised oil is, for the most part, benefitting the middle class India - people with 2 and 4 wheelers, office goers and the companies. The average consumption of fuel in rural India sucks when compared to the urban India. Rural India needs kerosene for the most part (for lighting and cooking) and a little bit of diesel (for water pumps running during agricultural seasons). The urban India needs Petrol & cooking gas every single day. Diesel is used mostly for goods transportation. So, it is clear whose interest the government is serving by stopping the petrol and cooking gas prices from rising. The irony is that it is being done in the name of the poor. Which poor? Is there any good pro-poor reason why the subsidies from Petrol & cooking gas should not be taken away? In fact, a large part of subsidies on diesel should also be done away with (the part which goes for private transportation).

I may seem anti-middle class - I am not. Like the 30% Indians, my family also belong to this group. All I want to point out is that the money going to subsidise the fuel and the rice, can very well be used to build new roads and better infrastructure. A small fraction of our oil subsidy can support many new educational institutions. Access to world commodity markets can make farming profitable and less risky, thus avoiding the need for half baked measures like loan waivers (which are dangerous for the rural banking system and thus for the farmers themselves in the end). What I fail to understand is that these measures are coming from someone as learned as our PM. Surely, he can not say "our farmers deserve our support" and then, bar them from getting better prices for their produce. That would be hypocracy - Mr. PM, you are too good and respectful to go to such lows.

9 comments:

SRK said...

Nice post PD...
I agree with you on the oil subsidy...

but with respect to the rice export ban, while I don't support the ban in any case, I doubt if it is done at the cost of the farmers... I am no expert on agriculture supply chain, but I have a strong feeling that the increase in prices would benefit the rice exporters (middlemen) more than the farmers... what say?

Hem said...

PD the same farmers get the benefit when the price crash as minimum support price .. so govern. prevents the downside.. so isn't it fair that the upside is also capped...
oil.. i agree with you.. it will create a havoc soon :)
nice post man!

liveyourdreams said...

@srk - i remember when I used to be in my village (long time back that was). I could catch the happy atmosphere among the farmers when the crop prices used to go up in the market. Sure, the middlemen were and are making money but this trade is no different that other trades - middlemen always make money but definitely, high crop prices bring genuine smiles on farmers' faces. After all, middle men also operate under the same economic principles of demand and supply.

liveyourdreams said...

@hem - that precisely is the problem, isnt it - govt supports or control in every scenario. Has the government explored the option to let the farmers grow crops as per market needs? Every company is free to do business in whichever area it deems fit. Why arent our farmers encouraged to grow biofuels to serve a growing market? Isnt this because this would increase prices of the basic food crops (and thus would be a bad situation for the government of the day)? But why should agriculture be any different than any other industry - Grow whatever is most profitable. Why must the poor farmers carry the burden of feeding the country when they are the least suited to do that job.

I have always wondered how the people which satisfy our most basic need get so little in return for that. I think, given the positive turn of events, I will see a time when farming would become profitable, even in India.

Hem said...

@PD
1) Agriculture is not like any other industry. why? Because from US to brazil to EU everyoone subsidizes their farmers (directly and indirectly). Hence, if india goes the capitalist way and leaves only Indian farmers to fight in market.. trust me they will be jacked like crazy.! don't you remember the bone of contention in Doha WTO!
2) Government is subsiding farmers in plenty of ways..a.) free water (no in our country no tax on it)
b) Highly susidized fertilizers (thx to this tata chemicals, IFFCO, RCF all are screwed) and no one now wants to build any more plant hence we now are net importers of urea
c) Many places free electricty (or in all places highly discounted).. another screwed-up policy in many states.. so none of the state DISCO's are ready to supply the farmers and get bankrupt (which anyways they are)
If you see the above.. you would can see why govt needs to regulate the market.. and it ultimately is best for farmers (though highly inefficient for economy). And profits that you talk about are artificial profits that our farm sector makes... let govt free up the cost side and tax the profits (for which the need will never arise as they would never make any)!
Cheers mate!

Anonymous said...

Good one PD. I always love reading what you write, though I do not always agree with you. Tk care mate.

Venkatesh Bhat.

liveyourdreams said...

@Hem,
"Agriculture is like any other industry" is meant within a particular context (about the presence of middlemen). It does not mean that it is exactly like every other industry. No industry is exactly alike.

That said, all your points are valid in general. With all the ills highlighted by you, you actually tend to support the case for govt getting more and more out of this industry (and stop playing mai-baap to farmers). Why doesnt govt strictly support organized retail to take shape even though it would go a long way in giving a good market for the farmers? How are the interests of the local shopkeepers more important than the farmers? And most important of all, if you think that since govt takes care of the downside then it also has the right to cap the upside then tell me, how does such a policy make the govt pro-farmer (the horn that it blows quite often)?

Finally, we need not look at the West or the US everytime. What they do is not necessarily right. But yes, our govt does need to be tough at WTO, as it is a give n take negotiation.

spiderman! said...

Better write a post on "Atlas Shrugged" and recommend it to the socialists. With a pinch of salt though!

I would want to know of a case where subsidy has worked in the long run in any country. I seem to find none.

liveyourdreams said...

Thank you Bhat - you are always welcome to shred my theory when you disagree